Two weeks ago I did write a piece entitled ‘our league
has gone mad….again’. In it I discussed the frenzy and the cut throat battle
to win the league and invited the NFL to take more than a passing glance at
the remaining matches.
But for the popularity and the exposure of the
premiership, I am tempted to say this year’s league is as popular.
I believe it is to the credit of the league organizing
body that 33 matches on, teams like Heartland and Enyimba can still draw at
home in matches they would have hitherto won at all cost. I have the strong
feeling that whoever wins the league this year will be worthy of its crown.
This week I want to take an interesting look at the drop
zone where the battle is as fierce if not fiercer than the promotion battle.
This study becomes even more interesting given the quality or perhaps the
names of the teams involved.
That Akwa United, Kwara United, Insurance, Gombe United
and Sharks are facing the drop is enough to send shivers down the spines of
traditional league followers in Nigeria .
Insurance (31pts)
The highest number of points that Insurance can get is 40
if they win all their remaining home matches against Akwa, Nasarawa and
Ocean Boys. . Their away matches against Jigawa, Lobi and Sharks-
teams that stand threatened ,is where the problem is.. On paper a sure
banker for relegation.
Jigawa(33pts)
Jigawa Golden Stars will aim for 39 pts if they can beat
Insurance and Sharks at home. Their third home match is against Heartland
and this will be a tough nut to crack. Away they may have no chance against
Ocean Boys and Wikki, while their last match against Prime may be
interesting depending on the position they both find themselves then. Jigawa
has the advantage of an outstanding match.
Prime(34pts)
While Prime has a tough home duel with neighbouring
Sunshine, other matches against JUTH and Jigawa maybe no problem. However it
is at away that Prime’s survival battle may face it’s waterloo as they may
not find answers to Bayelsa, Rangers and Gombe.
Kwara united(39 pts)
If there is any team that is running scared, that team
is Kwara United. With the toughest of home matches against title challengers
Enyimba, Tornadoes and Bayelsa, Kwara United has a handful and will be lucky
to win any of those matches. At away they come across Zamfara, Pillars and
Nasarawa. If not well handled, Kwara may not escape the drop. However, with
so much managerial experience and the involvement of Clemens Westerhoff in a
rescue mission, the Afonja Warriors dream a miraculous escape.
Gombe(39pts)
Although games in hand may be deceptive, the 39 pts they
have is with two games in hand whose security they can afford to rely on for
the time being.
At away, Gombe has no hope against Sharks, Heartland and
Enyimba. They will struggle to win at home against Ocean Boys, Wikki and
Prime. The poor run at the continent is not a morale booster.
AKWA UNITED(39PTS)
It is unbelievable that a team with so much quality is
wallowing at the foot of the table
The team has "home" matches against Lobi Stars, Ocean
Boys and Wikki Tourists. With only four teams under Akwa in a league where
four will be relegated, the team is condemned to winning all its home
matches if it must survive the drop.
The away matches are against Insurance, Sharks, and
Heartland. Tough matches all, given the survival and promotion involvement
of the opposition.
JUTH(41PTS)
Just as in the case of Kwara, Jos University Teaching
Hospital has crunchy home ties against Heartland, Enyimba and Tornadoes. One
does not see them winning all of them. At away, they are also against title
chasers Pillars and relegation haunted Prime and Zamfara.
Sharks(41pts)
Of all the relegation threatened teams, Sharks on paper
appears to have the simplest of fixtures as epitomized by their home games
against Gombe, Akwa and Insurance of Benin. At away it may not be that easy
against Sunshine, Jigawa and Lobi stars.
Nasarawa(41pts)
Nasarawa is still basking in the credible draw recorded
against Akwa United in Calabar at away. Incidentally the team has also been
banned to Calabar and it remains to be seen how their luck will be stretched
there against Tornadoes, Pillars and Kwara. At away they will be up against
Lobi, Insurance and Ocean Boys of Yenagoa.
Summary
On paper, Insurance, Prime and Jigawa appear doomed to
relegation. It remains to be seen however who among the rest will join them
and the answer to this and many other questions may come in the next
two weeks as some teams will be relegated mathematically.
Calabar-football unlimited
The people of Calabar are in for a soccer feast starting
from today as Nasarawa square up to Tornadoes. Tomorrow it will be the turn
of Akwa United against Lobi Stars while Dolphins will take over on Sunday in
a continental tie. In those days of Rovers, the U J Esuene stadium would
have been packed full every day of these top class football action but alas
those days are gone.
Those glo adverts
I am one of those who were quick to commend Globacom for
taking out space in the newspapers to activate the league. What I have seen
of recent makes me wonder whether we are involved in the same league. For
instance Glo has always refered to Akwa as AWKA UNITED. Always . Thursday
was the height of it as Lobi Stars was advertised to face both ‘Awka united’
and Bayelsa. The worst part of the misinformation involved the non
realization by the league sponsors that Enyimba,Gombe, and Wikki will not
play this week end due to their continental assignments. What is what doing
is what doing well